Airbus: the number of aircraft in service in Oceania is expected to double in 20 years
Sydney - Airbus expects the number of passenger planes with more than 100 seats to nearly double over the next 20 years in Australia, New Zealand, and the South Pacific.
The region's commercial aircraft fleet will include more than 600 aircraft in addition to 750 aircraft today, a total of 1,350 aircraft by 2036, the European aircraft manufacturer says in its recent market forecast.
Deliveries should include 360 single-aisle aircraft and 250 wide-body aircraft, including 50 aircraft with 400 seats or more. The proportion of widebody aircraft in the region is greater than the global average. As Airbus recalls, these aircraft currently provide about 70% of the traffic to and from Oceania and will continue to play a major role by 2036.
Air transport is often a necessity in Australia and the South Pacific because of the vast distances.
Airbus expects an interregional traffic growth of 4.4% per annum, identical to the world average but much higher than that of other major markets such as the United States, Japan and Europe (3.7 average growth).
Globally, Airbus expects traffic to grow by 4.4% over the next 20 years. Thus, 34,170 passenger aircraft and 730 cargo planes will be needed, which worth nearly $ 5.3 trillion.
The travel propensity of the inhabitants of Oceania is also the strongest in the world. According to the Airbus study, New Zealand will have 5.6 trips per capita and Australia 4.9 by 2036. In comparison, there should be 2.5 trips per capita in the United States, 1.3 in China and 0.4 in India.
The forecast also notes other favorable factors, such as the economy and demographics. Thus, regional GNP is expected to nearly double by 2036 to reach $ 2.7 trillion. And The population will increase by 25% in 20 years, from 40 to 50 million.
Tourism in Australia and the South Pacific is also benefiting from the easing of border procedures, particularly with China and India. The number of Chinese tourists has tripled in the last 10 years, and the number of Indian tourists has increased by 12%.
Finally, Airbus notes that to cope with this growth, more than 12,000 pilots and more than 13,000 additional service technicians will be needed. The aircraft manufacturer sees an opportunity to develop its services. Its global network of training centers has grown from 5 to 16 in the last three years.
Globally, Airbus expects traffic to grow by 4.4% over the next 20 years. Thus, 34,170 passenger aircraft and 730 cargo planes will be needed, which worth nearly $ 5.3 trillion. More than 70% of new appliances will be single aisles; 60% of them will respond to the growth needs and 40% to the replacement needs. In the end, the global fleet of commercial aircraft is expected to exceed 40,000 aircraft by 2036.